The estate tax remains in flux as key Congressional tax-writers have indicated that an estate tax resolution will not occur in the near future. However, recent developments around the Senate debate to increase the federal debt limit are pointing to a two-year extension of 2009 estate tax law ($3.5M, 45% rate) as a likely outcome.
In accordance with a deal struck by Senate Democrats and the Obama Administration, the Senate will likely adopt a pay-as-you-go budget measure under which the estate tax would receive a two-year exemption, meaning that revenue offsets would not be required for costs associated with an estate tax fix in that window. This leads to the scenario highlighted above – a two-year patch of ’09 law most likely passed later this year as part of a larger tax package, perhaps under reconciliation instructions requiring only 51 votes.
It remains unclear whether the law will be reinstated retroactively – Senate Finance Chairman Max Baucus (D-MT) agrees with retroactivity, but House Ways and Means Chairman Charlie Rangel (D-NY) continues to stand in opposition against retroactive tax increases. Many scenarios for the estate tax remain on the table and are complicated by other legislative and political matters such as a health care compromise, a job-creation bill, and this year’s midterm elections.
AALU is a trusted voice in Washington and we continue to work with lawmakers and our membership to come to a conclusion that is the most beneficial for you and the clients you serve.